Long-Term Drought Predicted for Belize and other Caribbean countries
A long-term drought is being forecast for Belize and several other Caribbean countries. According to the Barbados-based Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF), ocean temperatures will continue substantially above average for the next three months, exacerbating heat stress in the Caribbean. It noted that the Pacific and Atlantic Ocean temperatures are predicted to remain well above average which will increase the heat stress through to October, resulting in increasing temperatures, humidity, and heatwave frequency. On a positive outlook CariCOF reported that El Nino would reduce the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones in Belize and the islands, as well as cause more short-term dry periods than typical. It predicted that rainfall totals in the ABC (Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao) Islands, The Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands will be average or higher through October. Barbados, Belize, the Guianas, Trinidad and Tobago, and the Windward Islands, on the other hand, are likely to receive the usual amount of rain or less. Long-term drought is developing in central Belize, Dominica, and southern French Guiana, with Martinique, St. Vincent, and Trinidad and Tobago probably developing or continuing by the end of November.