Reports have begun circulating of a weather system that may be poised to affect portions of Belize towards the end of the week. Maps of predictions have been circulating on social media platforms, but you may want to hold back on the umbrellas for now. According to Meteorologist Ronald Gordon, the system is merely a prediction and is not an actual weather disturbance on their radar.
Ronald Gordon, Deputy Chief Meteorologist: “What is happening is that we’re looking at computer models that are predicting a system to form. So is is not there yet. If you take a look at the satellite imaging you will not see a low pressure system out there. There is no area of disturbed weather yet that they can pinpoint yet they’re saying that computer models are forecasting something to develop. One of our computer models that we look at the Global Forecasting System called the GFS has been consistently forecasting a low pressure system to develop over the north west Caribbean sea or the western Caribbean sea and to gradually become better organized and move over northern Belize that’s what they’re showing now late Friday into Saturday, that’s one of the computer models. A couple of the other models also pick up something forming but they don’t take it over Belize they take it over into the Yucatan Channel which is well north of Belize. So we cannot say for certain that something is going to form nor can we say where it will go but what we do advise people and that is what we’re doing is to monitor the forecasts that we are going to issue as time goes along. The Hurricane Center which is the regional authority on hurricanes and tropical systems are giving this system or they’re saying that a system could develop based on the models also and they’re giving it 50% chance of happening which is 50/50. When you have 50% chance you mean that you have half probability that it happens and half probability that it doesn’t happen that’s a medium probability we call that so they are giving it 50% chance of developing into the weekend and moving into the northwestern Caribbean sea. Again they are not telling you exactly where it will go because it is too early to say so.”
Gordon stressed that while the system poses no imminent danger to Belize the public is reminded to always be prepared and stay alert.